Even If SOPA Passes, It Won't Stop Piracy
I haven't really participated much in the piracy conversations, but regardless of the privacy and civil rights concerns, I fail to see how SOPA will stop piracy. Anyone with knowledge of how torrents and rapidshare, as well as the free TV sites work, can see how it just won't work. They are constantly changing sites, working in multiple countries, and rarely does anyone even try to encrypt transmissions because the amount of info changing hands is so overwhelming that they can barely do anything about it, even un-encrypted.
So let's say it passes, and a new policing agency pops up to enforce this. There have been many debates as to how much power they would have, and how the bill may be legally interpreted. Rarely do things turn out as extreme as one side or the other states, but for the sake of argument, let's say they can just immediately know, look at what you're downloading, shut it down, and identify your location if they see something protected (not likely).
How long do you think it will be before someone devises a way to mask the data? Actually, I'm certain it already exists. Encrypting data between peers on a torrent is a simple task, no doubt. Ok, so what if some agent jumps on and extracts the encryption somehow? How long do you think it will be before the hackers figure out a way to prevent them from doing so?
I'm not gonna pretend like I fully understand the tech, but regardless, recent history has consistently shown that hackers are always one step ahead of experts/authorities on everything due to their vast numbers and lack of legality.
Sure, maybe you'd slow piracy in the US only at first, and they'd probably try to make a few high-profile examples like they did back in the 90s by suing some chick who downloaded some songs for millions. You may have some scared people, but the reality is, you'd probably end up pissing off a bunch of kids enough to make them download more.
So after a new bill is passed, a new agency created to spend tax dollars, and a load of time spent by who knows how many people, what do you end up with? A bill that does very little to stop the problem it was created to address. On top of that, there's a multitude of ways this law could be abused depending upon who's in charge, and what their motives are.
I can see a lot of you are hurting from piracy, and I wish I could magically end it for all of you, but the reality is that any politician who claims their legislation has the power to end piracy probably doesn't understand the technology. Half of these clowns probably barely know how to use a word processor. The way I see it, given the capabilities of the hacker communities, the only way we could stop it is to pass laws that are completely unconstitutional. And I simply do not have any desire to do so.
I'm curious, though, maybe there's something I missed, anyone have any suggestion as to how this may actually work? Because I simply don't see how.
Please don't give me the "we have to try something" reasoning. That is a really good way to end up with horrible laws.