Quote:
Originally Posted by
Mike Caffrey
β‘οΈ
That's called collusion.
That can bring on huge problems. Even though it's jointly owned, it's still a monopoly.
The music distribution system proposed is not a monopoly any more than, say, Apple only allowing iPhone service through AT&T.
There's still PLENTY of competition. I mean, the Eagles distributed their most recent release through Wal-Mart ONLY, from what I hear (this may only be stateside...fact check needed)...regardless, it's not on iTunes.
I was proposing something conceptually different but in effect the same -- have new music available ONLY through streaming subscription, but have the streaming subscription be cheap and widely accessible. I don't think people are trying to save a buck or two -- I think people just don't wanna spend ANYTHING on a product that has been devalued in the eyes of the public.
Have you ever pulled out your copy of the hot new CD, only to have someone in the room say, "oh, man, why'd you spend 15 bucks on that? I've got it in the car -- I'd have lent it to you."
My thoughts -- IT'S NOT THE FIFTEEN BUCKS! Kids in high school will find the fifteen bucks to order a pizza and soda with their friends. THEY HAVE THE MONEY and will find it for something they WANT. Lowering the price to ten bucks or five bucks "per pop" won't change the equation here.
But offering a ten-buck-a-month "all-you-can-eat" subscription with instant on-demand access to a vast library of the classics and all the new music you ABSOLUTELY CAN'T GET ANYWHERE ELSE would completely change the game.
You just have to make it UNDENIABLY CONVENIENT and make it EASY FOR PEOPLE TO PAY THE BILL.
http://www.ncta.com/ContentView.aspx?contentId=54
U.S. cable TV: 65 million subscribers, avg., $74.7 billion revenue last year, $26.9 billion advertising revenue
U.S. mobile phone industry: right around 200 million subscribers (possibly more by now)
Nobody has a problem with paying THESE bills...
...because people view TV and mobile as UTILITIES not LUXURIES!
http://www1.medialiteracy.com/stats_advertising.jsp
and radio ad revenue is TWICE the revenue from CD sales?!? (nearly $20 BILLION in the U.S.)
ARE WE IN THE WRONG BUSINESS, OR IS IT JUST ME?
Now start putting these numbers together to match the music industry's recent $10-15 billion/yr. RIAA sales figures without selling a SINGLE CD EVER AGAIN and without kowtowing to iTunes/Starbucks/Wal-Mart or Silicon Valley -- just cutting deals with cable & mobile companies from a position of leverage.
Tack on $3/month to each subscription for unlimited anytime music? One third of subscribers pay ten bucks a month?
Or how about a three-tiered system: free (targeted ads play between songs), $1.50/ month basic (limited library, some new music), or $10/month premium service (all new music, exclusive live shows, video downloads, etc.).
Consumers have adapted to using iPods and iPhones for music storage and delivery in cars, homes, offices, etc.
If streaming isn't viable, it is certainly very close -- maybe one generation of mobile technology away. Cheap and (relatively) fast mobile internet is already here.
U.S. analog TV goes off soon, and that juicy bandwidth will be for sale -- bidders are already lining up. THAT'S actually the future of digital in the U.S., period. If it is not monopolized and run into the ground to keep existing models profitable, wireless digital will be "broad" band well beyond what we can imagine under the current system.
Of course, when the rail companies had come up with a cheap, accesible way to get people around, the car companies bought them up purposely put them out of business, replacing them with buses and cars (U.S. in the 40's?) and leading to a VERY profitable expansion for the auto and oil industries. Free enterprise, meet laissez faire capitalism and corporate-funded lobbying...let's hope the lobbyists don't have a field day with this one...this makes the fight for Net Neutrality look like a minor skirmish...
Quote:
On February 8, 2006, President Bush signed into law the "Digital Television Transition and Public Safety Act of 2005", a section of the "Deficit Reduction Act of 2005". This law mandated a hard shut-off date of February 17, 2009 for the end of all analog (NTSC) TV transmissions in the U.S.
Hmmm...one month after the inauguration of the next President...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-de..._United_States
Streaming-on-demand (or with TiVo-meets-iPod time-shifted playlisting) as the ONLY legal distribution method of new music will severely handicap all existing forms of piracy and gray-area intellectual property dilution (P2P, iTunes library sharing, etc.). And, with the active participation of Silicon Valley and mobile tech, EVERYONE could make more money, even Apple (the iPod gravy train will eventually run out as the market gets saturated with iPhones and competing products).
Dave Kusek's book "The Future of Music" put this all into perspective years ago -- the overriding thesis was "music like water" -- sell it as a utility, not a la carte.
http://www.futureofmusicbook.com/